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Archive for February 24th, 2019

For my second post about the Oscars today: I recently had a conversation about the Oscars, where said after Roma, the favourite (the bookies  favourite, not the movie called The Favourite), Green Book is the film most likely film to win best picture.  This was met with derision as the people I was talking to said The Favourite And a few other nominated films) is better than Green Book.  While I agree that it is a better film, and may get more 1st place votes, it may not win. While the other categories are a simple vote, five nominees, tick a box for your favourite, the best picture is decided by a preferential ballot.  Essentially the same as a single transferable ballet used in some elections. Oscars

Essentially, a movie needs to achieve over 50% of vote.  To achieve this, each voter has to rank the movies in order of favourite (1 to 8 this year).  If more than half of voters pick a film as their number one choice, it wins.  If no film achieves this, the lowest ranked film is eliminated.  The votes that went to the lowest ranked film are transferred to the next highest ranked film on each ballot paper.  This process is continued until one film achieves over half the ballot. GreenBook

Green book is the type of film that could pick up a lot of 2nd and 3rd place votes.  The same could be true of Bohemian Rhapsody and A Star Is Born where The Favourite and BlacKkKlansman are probably more divisive and polarising.  I suspect Vice and Black Panther are making up the numbers.  And why do I not mind if Green Book wins?  Because despite a backlash and reports to the contrary, it is an excellent film and I really liked it.  When I did my own ranking of nominated films last month it came in fourth behind Roma, The Favourite, and BlacKkKlansman.  On any given day it could creep up to third.  oscar the best picture ranked

To add to the confusion, While Roma is favourite to win best picture, it may miss out on Best Foreign Language Film.  A category with possibly the fairest voting process.  There is no guarantee that anyone voting for best picture (or any other Oscar) has actually seen the film.  Except the Best Foreign Language Film, where not only must they watch the films, but must watch them how intended, in a cinema.  The nominated films are selected by the Foreign Language Film Award Committee (who watch all the submitted films).  So called “screener” DVD’s are not used in this category, any Academy members wishing to vote must attend an official screening of all five nominated films. Roma

Cards on the table, I have only seen two of this year’s nominated films, Roma and Cold war, I love them both.  While Roma is the better film, I would love to see the lesser seen Cold War win.  Given the way they are voted for the popular film doesn’t always win, just remember Amélie lost out to No Man’s Land, and Pans Labyrinth to The Lives of Others!

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A couple of weeks ago I ranked the Oscar nominees by order of my preference.   Now it’s time to predict who will win: 

BEST PICTURE: ROMA – Gabriela Rodríguez and Alfonso Cuarón, ProducersRoma

DIRECTING Alfonso Cuarón – ROMAAlfonso-Cuaron-Director-Roma

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY): BLACKKKLANSMAN – Written by Charlie Wachtel & David Rabinowitz and Kevin Willmott & Spike LeeCharlie Wachtel & David Rabinowitz and Kevin Willmott & Spike Lee

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY): FIRST REFORMED – Written by Paul SchraderFIRST REFORMED - Written by Paul Schrader

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE: RAMI MALEK – Bohemian RhapsodyRAMI MALEK - Bohemian Rhapsody

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE: GLENN CLOSE – The WifeGLENN CLOSE - The Wife

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE: MAHERSHALA ALI – Green BookMAHERSHALA ALI - Green Book

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE: REGINA KING – If Beale Street Could TalkREGINA KING - If Beale Street Could Talk

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM: SPIDER-MAN: INTO THE SPIDER-VERSESpider-Man Into the Spider-Verse poster

CINEMATOGRAPHY Alfonso Cuarón – ROMAalfonso cuaron

COSTUME DESIGN: Sandy Powell – THE FAVOURITESandy Powell - THE FAVOURITE

FILM EDITING: VICE – Hank CorwinVICE - Hank Corwin

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: ROMA – MexicoRoma

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE): IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK – Nicholas BritellNicholas Britell

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG): SHALLOW from A Star Is Born; Music and Lyric by Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando and Andrew Wyatt76th Annual Golden Globe Awards, Press Room, Los Angeles, USA - 06 Jan 2019

PRODUCTION DESIGN: THE FAVOURITE – Production Design: Fiona Crombie & Set Decoration: Alice FeltonFiona Crombie Alice Felton

SOUND EDITING: BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY – John Warhurst and Nina HartstoneJohn Warhurst and Nina Hartstone

SOUND MIXING: FIRST MAN –  Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montaño, Ai-Ling Lee and Mary H. Ellis- Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montaño, Ai-Ling Lee and Mary H. Ellis

VISUAL EFFECTS: AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR – Dan DeLeeuw, Kelly Port, Russell Earl and Dan SudickVISUAL EFFECTS AVENGERS INFINITY WAR

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